Red Pill: Technical reason the next cyber-war will go well, but not as expected.

one red pill, one blue pill
one red pill, one blue pill

Bruce Schneier, a well regarded Internet Security Expert, recently released a good length blog on:

Security Orchestration and Incident Response – Schneier/blog – March 29, 2017 at 6:16 AM

Bruce covers the push to use AI (artificial intelligence), ML (Machine Learning), and SI (System Integration) – and the current Internet security industry effort to replace humans. To cut to the chase, Bruce does not recommend this strategy and says so in plain english. I do not recommend unattended systems either.

Here from one (1) of three (3) paragraphs where Bruce relates his experience, and his knowledge from the latest military lectures for H.R. McMaster, currently @POTUS Donald J Trump’s National Security Advisor.

But along the way, we learned a lot about how the feeling of certainty affects military thinking. Last month, I attended a lecture on the topic by H.R. McMaster. This was before he became President Trump’s national security advisor-designate. Then, he was the director of the Army Capabilities Integration Center. His lecture touched on many topics, but at one point he talked about the failure of the RMA. He confirmed that military strategists mistakenly believed that data would give them certainty. But he took this change in thinking further, outlining the ways this belief in certainty had repercussions in how military strategists thought about modern conflict.

Near the end Bruce states:

From within an orchestration model, automation can be incredibly powerful. But it’s the human-centric orchestration model –­ the dashboards, the reports, the collaboration –­ that makes automation work. Otherwise, you’re blindly trusting the machine. And when an uncertain process is automated, the results can be dangerous.

Bruce does acknowledge that perhaps one (1) day we might be able to accomplish this scifi reality, and it might be possible in the lifetimes of our children. The article is well worth reading, if you have about ten (10) to twenty (20) minutes and it falls into your realm of thinking.

 

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